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May 18th NFL news ... In order to create an edge over the house, you need to be in tune with all of the important trends, statistics and news with Football online gambling
Welcome to footballonlinegambling.net, the informational site for those that love to gamble on football. In order to create an edge over the house, you need to be in tune with all of the important trends, statistics and news.
By monitoring our site throughout the season, you will have access to all of that key information as well as all of the spreads, information on line movements and in depth analysis on all of the big games..
By monitoring our site throughout the season, you will have access to all of that key information as well as all of the spreads, information on line movements and in depth analysis on all of the big games..
NFL News
NFL Week 4: Play against home favorites
2010-09-30
A handicapping angle that has paid consistent dividends for decades validated itself again last week. As discussed prior to Week 3, Play AGAINST home favorites of 10.5 or more points versus division opponents off an upset loss as a favorite.
For more betting trends, check out the Team Stats page at Sportsbook.com.
There were three games that featured this scenario last week and two of them came through. Cleveland easily covered the 12.5-point spread at Baltimore, falling 24-17 after having led the game outright 17-14 in the fourth quarter. Likewise, Buffalo beat the 14-point spread at New England in a 38-30 loss. The Bills were within one score of the Patriots and had possession of the ball late in the game before an INT ended their upset hopes. In the third such contest, Detroit just missed covering the 13 points it was getting at Minnesota, losing 24-10 in a game that was 14-10 at the half.
After last week’s 2-1 record using this angle, this trend is now 44-15 since 1983. (74.6%, +27.5 units. Rating = 3*).
There are two such opportunities this week. Detroit gets another shot as a heavy 15-point underdog at Green Bay, who lost as a road favorite on Monday night in Chicago. Meanwhile, Carolina is getting 13.5 points from the defending Super Bowl champions in the Superdome. New Orleans is coming off an agonizing overtime loss to Atlanta.
To cash-in on this powerful betting trend head over to Sportsbook.com now.
NFL: Early Sunday Kickoffs (1:05 PM ET, CBS & FOX)
2009-12-11
The early afternoon betting card in the NFL offers a huge 10-game board, loaded with numerous wagering opportunities. Among the highlight games, both remaining undefeated teams will be in action, while intra-conference division leaders will square off in Minnesota, and AFC wildcard contenders will go head-to-head in Jacksonville. Read on for a look at these games plus a Best Bet selection from the StatFox Platinum Sheet. Get more on all of the Sunday games by visiting the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages at Sportsbook.com.
(105) DENVER at (106) INDIANAPOLIS
Indianapolis remains unbeaten and is already in the uncomfortable position of wondering whether or not to rest starters in its remaining games. The rest of the AFC is hoping that the Colts don’t, as Denver is in the thick of a wildcard logjam at 8-4. For HC Jim Caldwell’s team, the Broncos represent the foe on their remaining schedule with the best record, thus potentially the greatest chance for getting knocked off. For the Broncos, this is the first of two tough remaining road games, but they are 4-2 SU & ATS away in ’09. These teams have become somewhat regular combatants in recent years, and Indy owns a 6-2 SU & ATS record in the series since ’02. In the L3 games in Indianapolis, the Colts are 3-0 SU & ATS with an average victory margin of 24.7 PPG.
(107) CINCINNATI at (108) MINNESOTA
Intra-conference division leaders collide in Minnesota, with each hoping to get closer to locking down their titles. The Vikings are 10-2 after losing at Arizona. The other loss was of course, at the hands of Cincinnati’s rival, the Steelers. The Bengals are 9-3, embarking on a road trip that features stops at the Metrodome and at San Diego. They will be the underdog in both, which may be a welcomed sign for Marvin Lewis, whose team is a perfect 6-0 SU & ATS in the dog role this season. They are also 3-0 vs. the NFC and have gone 6-1 ATS in their L7 overall vs. the opposite conference. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS at home under Brad Childress in the L4 weeks of the regular season. The host has swept the L3 h2h meetings between these teams, winning by 17.7 PPG.
(115) NEW ORLEANS at (116) ATLANTA
Some experts have circled this game on the Saints calendar as the largest remaining obstacle in the quest to finish 16-0 in 2009. New Orleans has been at its best in the road favorite role of late, going 10-3 ATS under Sean Payton, including the failed cover at Washington this past week. The Saints are also 7-3 ATS on the divisional road in his tenure. Having already wrapped up the NFC South title, they’ll be looking to spoil the season of one of their rivals here. Atlanta is 6-6 after dropping one to Philadelphia last week and facing an uncertain immediate future with the injury status of QB Matt Ryan. The Falcons are now 3-1 ATS as a home dog under Mike Smith. Favorites are on a run of 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS in the L12 meetings between these teams in Atlanta.
(119) MIAMI at (120) JACKSONVILLE
Both from Florida, Miami and Jacksonville aren’t exactly rivals, as they meet more in the preseason than they do when it matters. In fact, this will be just the fifth all-time meeting, as each team looks to hang on in the AFC wildcard hunt. The Dolphins are still breathing after upsetting New England, but at 6-6 would need to win out vs. four other fellow contenders to even have a shot. The Jaguars are 7-5, and although their chances are better, their stats (-4.0 PPG margin) and upcoming schedule (Indy, at NE) suggest a postseason berth isn’t in their future either. Jacksonville moved to 2-4 ATS in ’09 at home after the loss to Houston and is 3-11 ATS in its L14 as host. In the h2h series, the Jaguars own a 3-1 SU & ATS edge, most recently in ’06 in Miami.
StatFox Steve sees some value on the Miami-Jacksonville tilt: This to me is an interesting FoxSheets’ system when you really sit down and analyze what it means: Play Against - Any team (JACKSONVILLE) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. (60-27 since 1983.) (69%, +30.3 units. Rating = 2*). The average line of the games in the system team -0.2. How I read it is that our fade team (Jacksonville in this case) has a winning record but played as a home dog last week and is only favored by a small amount this week. In other words, it seems to be a team not worthy of its winning record. I concur, since Jacksonville, despite its 7-5 record, is being outscored by 4.0 PPG. They have been horrible in the favorite role as well. At the same time, Miami has been a gritty team, particularly on the road under Tony Sparano: MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. I can’t tell you which team is the better team here, and with the way Jacksonville has played at home of late, I wouldn’t assign them much home field advantage. Therefore, the value lies with the Dolphins. Play: Miami +2.5
NFL: Late Afternoon Games (4:05 PM ET, CBS & FOX)
There are only three NFL games scheduled for late afternoon on Sunday, and only one of them means anything in the grand scope of the playoff picture, that being San Diego visiting Dallas. Still, for all three, Sportsbook.com has of course offered up a pointspread and total among other wagering possibilities, so they are all worthy of your attention. Here is a quick look at all three, with some key betting tidbits to consider.
(125) ST LOUIS at (126) TENNESSEE
Tennessee will look to start a new winning streak after its loss at Indianapolis snapped its string of five straight. The setback might have been the nail in the coffin of the Titans’ postseason hopes as well, as at 5-7, their chances are remote. Here, they’ll start a 3-game homestand against a St. Louis team that still has just one win in ’09 after falling in Chicago. The Rams have at least been competitive on the road, boasting a 4-2 ATS mark. St Louis is also on a 6-0 ATS run in road games vs. poor defensive teams allowing >=5.65 yards/play over the L3 seasons. The Titans yield 6.0 YPP. They are 32-14 ATS vs. NFC under Jeff Fisher though. St. Louis has won the L2 meetings between these teams, including the Super Bowl in’00, but didn’t win ATS in either.
(127) WASHINGTON at (128) OAKLAND
Washington and Oakland play one of the uglier matchups of Week 14, and fittingly, the game has plenty of trends to match. Oakland is 0-6 ATS vs. teams with a losing record over the last 2 seasons, with an average loss of 26.8-9.5. Washington is 15-29 ATS vs. bad teams (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992. The Raiders counter that by going 20-40 ATS in December games since 1992. Not to be outdone, Washington brings a 1-8 ATS record vs. AFC foes over the L3 seasons into this scintillating contest. The Redskins are hoping to extend a stretch of 3-0 SU & ATS by the visitor in the head-to-head series between these teams. In fairness to both franchises, the teams have been more competitive of late, Oakland 3-2 ATS in its L5, Washington has covered its L4.
(129) SAN DIEGO at (130) DALLAS
Dallas continues its most difficult stretch of the season when it hosts the red hot Chargers. San Diego has won seven straight games to reach 9-3 and has its sights set on a first round bye. Under Norv Turner, this has been the time of the year where the Chargers have played their best football, boasting an 8-2 ATS December mark. They are also 8-1 ATS in the second half of the season vs. good offensive teams gaining >=5.65 yards per play in his tenure. Dallas averages a lofty 6.7 YPP but finds itself in a tight NFC East race after losing to New York. Since dropping the new stadium opener, the Cowboys have won five straight at home, holding three teams to a TD or less while going 4-1 ATS. They are on a 3-7 ATS slide vs. the AFC, including 2-3 ATS at home.
This Best Bet writeup can be found in the NFL TIPSHEET this week: It happened again on Sunday, Dallas melted down under the mounting playoff pressures of December. San Diego meanwhile, got it done for Norv Turner once again and has proven to be one of the best late season teams in the league. At this point, San Diego is actually one of the top teams overall in the NFL, and to get points with a club playing so well is a gift. What reason is there to think that the Cowboys are better than a team that has won seven straight games? After all, they couldn’t even beat a team that was ready to be left for dead in the Giants. Take a look at this trend on how San Diego snuffs out good offenses late in the year: SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.6, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 1*). Dallas will be fortunate to get those 19 points, in which case, I can’t see any way they beat the number. Play: San Diego +3
NFL: Top Trends for NFL Week 1
2009-09-09
We’re ready to kick off another exciting season in the National Football League, and here are a few of the top trends and latest analysis for the Week 1 games. All odds are courtesy of Sportsbook.com. Visit the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS and TEAM STATISTICS pages all weekend long for the rest of the key handicapping info.
Tennessee (+5) at Pittsburgh – Thursday 8:30 pm ET
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the teams
Pittsburgh is 24-8 as a home favorite between 3.5-10 points
Tennessee is 8-0 ATS in their last eight September games
This is a tough task for Tennessee as defending Super Bowl champions are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in the last five Thursday opening nights. Everyone is waiting for quarterback Kerry Collins to morph back into the younger, more skittish version of himself, but he should be fine as long as he remains a ‘game manager.’
Pittsburgh doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses and their ‘strength of schedule’ is one of the easiest in the NFL. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is the Teflon Man once again. He seems completely unaffected by his recent injury scare and his sexual assault case.
Philadelphia (-1) at Carolina – Sunday 1 pm EST
Philadelphia is 1-7-1 ATS as a road favorite between .5-3 points
Carolina was 5-2-1 ATS at home in the regular season last year
Under is 12-4 in Carolina’s last 16 home games
Philly has moved from one-point underdogs to one-point ‘chalk’ even though they were 0-4 ATS in the preseason. Donovan McNabb will lead the offense for the first two games without the help of Mike Vick and the ‘Wildcat.’ The defense must prove it can win without coordinator Jim Johnson.
Carolina was 8-0 SU at home in the regular season last year, but all anyone remembers is the home playoff loss to Arizona. The Panthers were 0-4 both straight-up and ATS in the preseason and now have running back Jonathan Stewart and linebacker Jon Beason questionable for this game.
Washington (+6.5) at NY Giants – Sunday 4:15 pm EST
New York is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the teams
New York was 12-4 ATS in the regular season last year
Washington is 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games
Washington is predicted to be bottom-dwellers in the NFC East, but don’t fall asleep on this team. Quarterback Jason Campbell is looking much more comfortable in Coach Jim Zorn’s offense and the defense was already Top 5 before adding Albert Haynesworth. Zorn better hope it all comes together or he’ll be back in Seattle working at Starbucks.
New York has all the pieces in place for another Super Bowl run except number one receiver. There is plenty of talent at the position, but someone has to assume the role of jailed Plaxico Burress. If the Giants struggle early on, the pressure will mount on Eli Manning, especially with his new mammoth contract.
Chicago (+3.5) at Green Bay – Sunday 8:20 pm EST
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the teams
Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games
Chicago is 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games
Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler has been all that was advertised so far, but his current group of receivers can’t compare with those on Denver last year. Cutler actually had a better quarterback rating on the road last year (89.3) than at home (83.2), and he’ll need to play great in this tough Lambeau matchup.
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers and the first team offense looked great when they played in the preseason. Can you say Brett Favre who? While that has Packers fans suddenly confident heading into Sunday night, the real key is how fast the defense responds to Dom Capers’ multiple-look 3-4 scheme.
Buffalo (+10.5) at New England – Monday 7 pm EST
New England is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the teams
New England is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games
Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last four Week 1 games
Buffalo is having its share of drama already, but its surprisingly not coming from wide receiver Terrell Owens. Offensive coordinator, Turk Schonert has been fired this preseason after an anemic showing for the first team offense. However, Coach Dick Jauron says the Bills will stick with the no-huddle offense.
New England continues its purge of veteran defensive players. The latest to go is Richard Seymour who was traded to Oakland for a 2011 number one pick. Coach Bill Belichick feels he can win with his revamped defense, but the QB position is thinner than an old Kate Moss photo with the un-drafted Brian Hoyer the only backup.
Other Week 1 Odds
Sunday
Miami (+4) at Atlanta – 1 pm EST
Denver (+4) at Cincinnati – 1 pm EST
Minnesota (-4) at Cleveland – 1 pm EST
Jacksonville (+7) at Indianapolis – 1 pm EST
Detroit (+13) at New Orleans – 1 pm EST
Dallas (-5.5) at Tampa Bay – 1 pm EST
Kansas City (+10.5) at Baltimore – 1 pm EST
NY Jets (+4.5) at Houston – 1 pm EST
San Francisco (+6.5) at Arizona – 4:15 pm EST
St. Louis (+7.5) at Seattle – 4:15 pm EST
San Diego (-9) at Oakland – Monday 10:15 pm ET
NFL - San Francisco at Seattle
2007-11-09
The Monday night game offers up a divisional showdown between rivals of the NFC West. No team is over .500 in this brutal division, so Seattle maintains control of the lead with a 4-4 record.
The Seahawks are off a disappointing 33-30 OT loss at Cleveland in which they gave up a 21-6 lead. It was the second time in ’07 that the offense scored both 30 points and gained at least 400 yards, so there are signs that the sputtering unit is coming to life. Speaking of struggling offenses, the 49ers are the league’s worst in yards per game (224.2) and yards per play (4.2). They have lost six straight games and are 1-5 ATS in that span. HC Mike Nolan’s teams are 6-12 ATS as road underdogs, but 5-4 ATS as double-digit dogs, which they are here at +10. In last year’s game between these teams at Seattle, the 49ers won outright, 24-14 as 10-point dogs.
The Niners started with a bang but have since found NFL life unrewarding, going 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS heading into this week’s matchup with division foe Seattle. The offense has sputtered with various injuries hampering the effort and a lack of power provided by the rushing attack. The offensive line has failed to support the momentum built last season and now must find a way to reverse fortunes if San Fran is going to challenge for wins. The defense is strong is more than capable despite giving up too many rushing yards, but their strength will never be realized until the offensive support comes forth.
Seattle may be one of the more frustrating units in the professional ranks this season. The offense is loaded with potential but has failed to formulate a means of consistent success. The defense is on the verge of joining the great units in the game but will falter against a strong rushing attack. There is nothing about this squad that shines, evidenced by the 4-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS, and 3-4-1 O/U records thus far. However, this team has put San Fran in their place once this season and faces a great opportunity to build much-needed momentum once again.
Keys to the Game –This NFC West matchup looked like a sure–fire winner before the season started; however, San Francisco has fallen flat on their faces. Injuries have limited offense, still to be this dreadful at this point of the season points to players not holding up there end of the bargain. The Niners are once again dogs to Seattle, just like they have been the previous six times. Many of the elements are in place for Seattle, but like child’s toy – assembly required. As loud and proud Seattle fans are and with how good the Seahawks have been under Mike Holmgren, they are 7-1 ATS at Qwest Field when a touchdown or more home favorite.
Trends
- The SU winner of Seattle MNF games is 20-0-1 ATS.
- San Fran is 5-2 ATS as a MNF road underdog.
StatFox Pick – Seahawks minus points
2010-09-30
A handicapping angle that has paid consistent dividends for decades validated itself again last week. As discussed prior to Week 3, Play AGAINST home favorites of 10.5 or more points versus division opponents off an upset loss as a favorite.
For more betting trends, check out the Team Stats page at Sportsbook.com.
There were three games that featured this scenario last week and two of them came through. Cleveland easily covered the 12.5-point spread at Baltimore, falling 24-17 after having led the game outright 17-14 in the fourth quarter. Likewise, Buffalo beat the 14-point spread at New England in a 38-30 loss. The Bills were within one score of the Patriots and had possession of the ball late in the game before an INT ended their upset hopes. In the third such contest, Detroit just missed covering the 13 points it was getting at Minnesota, losing 24-10 in a game that was 14-10 at the half.
After last week’s 2-1 record using this angle, this trend is now 44-15 since 1983. (74.6%, +27.5 units. Rating = 3*).
There are two such opportunities this week. Detroit gets another shot as a heavy 15-point underdog at Green Bay, who lost as a road favorite on Monday night in Chicago. Meanwhile, Carolina is getting 13.5 points from the defending Super Bowl champions in the Superdome. New Orleans is coming off an agonizing overtime loss to Atlanta.
To cash-in on this powerful betting trend head over to Sportsbook.com now.
NFL: Early Sunday Kickoffs (1:05 PM ET, CBS & FOX)
2009-12-11
The early afternoon betting card in the NFL offers a huge 10-game board, loaded with numerous wagering opportunities. Among the highlight games, both remaining undefeated teams will be in action, while intra-conference division leaders will square off in Minnesota, and AFC wildcard contenders will go head-to-head in Jacksonville. Read on for a look at these games plus a Best Bet selection from the StatFox Platinum Sheet. Get more on all of the Sunday games by visiting the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages at Sportsbook.com.
(105) DENVER at (106) INDIANAPOLIS
Indianapolis remains unbeaten and is already in the uncomfortable position of wondering whether or not to rest starters in its remaining games. The rest of the AFC is hoping that the Colts don’t, as Denver is in the thick of a wildcard logjam at 8-4. For HC Jim Caldwell’s team, the Broncos represent the foe on their remaining schedule with the best record, thus potentially the greatest chance for getting knocked off. For the Broncos, this is the first of two tough remaining road games, but they are 4-2 SU & ATS away in ’09. These teams have become somewhat regular combatants in recent years, and Indy owns a 6-2 SU & ATS record in the series since ’02. In the L3 games in Indianapolis, the Colts are 3-0 SU & ATS with an average victory margin of 24.7 PPG.
(107) CINCINNATI at (108) MINNESOTA
Intra-conference division leaders collide in Minnesota, with each hoping to get closer to locking down their titles. The Vikings are 10-2 after losing at Arizona. The other loss was of course, at the hands of Cincinnati’s rival, the Steelers. The Bengals are 9-3, embarking on a road trip that features stops at the Metrodome and at San Diego. They will be the underdog in both, which may be a welcomed sign for Marvin Lewis, whose team is a perfect 6-0 SU & ATS in the dog role this season. They are also 3-0 vs. the NFC and have gone 6-1 ATS in their L7 overall vs. the opposite conference. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS at home under Brad Childress in the L4 weeks of the regular season. The host has swept the L3 h2h meetings between these teams, winning by 17.7 PPG.
(115) NEW ORLEANS at (116) ATLANTA
Some experts have circled this game on the Saints calendar as the largest remaining obstacle in the quest to finish 16-0 in 2009. New Orleans has been at its best in the road favorite role of late, going 10-3 ATS under Sean Payton, including the failed cover at Washington this past week. The Saints are also 7-3 ATS on the divisional road in his tenure. Having already wrapped up the NFC South title, they’ll be looking to spoil the season of one of their rivals here. Atlanta is 6-6 after dropping one to Philadelphia last week and facing an uncertain immediate future with the injury status of QB Matt Ryan. The Falcons are now 3-1 ATS as a home dog under Mike Smith. Favorites are on a run of 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS in the L12 meetings between these teams in Atlanta.
(119) MIAMI at (120) JACKSONVILLE
Both from Florida, Miami and Jacksonville aren’t exactly rivals, as they meet more in the preseason than they do when it matters. In fact, this will be just the fifth all-time meeting, as each team looks to hang on in the AFC wildcard hunt. The Dolphins are still breathing after upsetting New England, but at 6-6 would need to win out vs. four other fellow contenders to even have a shot. The Jaguars are 7-5, and although their chances are better, their stats (-4.0 PPG margin) and upcoming schedule (Indy, at NE) suggest a postseason berth isn’t in their future either. Jacksonville moved to 2-4 ATS in ’09 at home after the loss to Houston and is 3-11 ATS in its L14 as host. In the h2h series, the Jaguars own a 3-1 SU & ATS edge, most recently in ’06 in Miami.
StatFox Steve sees some value on the Miami-Jacksonville tilt: This to me is an interesting FoxSheets’ system when you really sit down and analyze what it means: Play Against - Any team (JACKSONVILLE) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. (60-27 since 1983.) (69%, +30.3 units. Rating = 2*). The average line of the games in the system team -0.2. How I read it is that our fade team (Jacksonville in this case) has a winning record but played as a home dog last week and is only favored by a small amount this week. In other words, it seems to be a team not worthy of its winning record. I concur, since Jacksonville, despite its 7-5 record, is being outscored by 4.0 PPG. They have been horrible in the favorite role as well. At the same time, Miami has been a gritty team, particularly on the road under Tony Sparano: MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. I can’t tell you which team is the better team here, and with the way Jacksonville has played at home of late, I wouldn’t assign them much home field advantage. Therefore, the value lies with the Dolphins. Play: Miami +2.5
NFL: Late Afternoon Games (4:05 PM ET, CBS & FOX)
There are only three NFL games scheduled for late afternoon on Sunday, and only one of them means anything in the grand scope of the playoff picture, that being San Diego visiting Dallas. Still, for all three, Sportsbook.com has of course offered up a pointspread and total among other wagering possibilities, so they are all worthy of your attention. Here is a quick look at all three, with some key betting tidbits to consider.
(125) ST LOUIS at (126) TENNESSEE
Tennessee will look to start a new winning streak after its loss at Indianapolis snapped its string of five straight. The setback might have been the nail in the coffin of the Titans’ postseason hopes as well, as at 5-7, their chances are remote. Here, they’ll start a 3-game homestand against a St. Louis team that still has just one win in ’09 after falling in Chicago. The Rams have at least been competitive on the road, boasting a 4-2 ATS mark. St Louis is also on a 6-0 ATS run in road games vs. poor defensive teams allowing >=5.65 yards/play over the L3 seasons. The Titans yield 6.0 YPP. They are 32-14 ATS vs. NFC under Jeff Fisher though. St. Louis has won the L2 meetings between these teams, including the Super Bowl in’00, but didn’t win ATS in either.
(127) WASHINGTON at (128) OAKLAND
Washington and Oakland play one of the uglier matchups of Week 14, and fittingly, the game has plenty of trends to match. Oakland is 0-6 ATS vs. teams with a losing record over the last 2 seasons, with an average loss of 26.8-9.5. Washington is 15-29 ATS vs. bad teams (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992. The Raiders counter that by going 20-40 ATS in December games since 1992. Not to be outdone, Washington brings a 1-8 ATS record vs. AFC foes over the L3 seasons into this scintillating contest. The Redskins are hoping to extend a stretch of 3-0 SU & ATS by the visitor in the head-to-head series between these teams. In fairness to both franchises, the teams have been more competitive of late, Oakland 3-2 ATS in its L5, Washington has covered its L4.
(129) SAN DIEGO at (130) DALLAS
Dallas continues its most difficult stretch of the season when it hosts the red hot Chargers. San Diego has won seven straight games to reach 9-3 and has its sights set on a first round bye. Under Norv Turner, this has been the time of the year where the Chargers have played their best football, boasting an 8-2 ATS December mark. They are also 8-1 ATS in the second half of the season vs. good offensive teams gaining >=5.65 yards per play in his tenure. Dallas averages a lofty 6.7 YPP but finds itself in a tight NFC East race after losing to New York. Since dropping the new stadium opener, the Cowboys have won five straight at home, holding three teams to a TD or less while going 4-1 ATS. They are on a 3-7 ATS slide vs. the AFC, including 2-3 ATS at home.
This Best Bet writeup can be found in the NFL TIPSHEET this week: It happened again on Sunday, Dallas melted down under the mounting playoff pressures of December. San Diego meanwhile, got it done for Norv Turner once again and has proven to be one of the best late season teams in the league. At this point, San Diego is actually one of the top teams overall in the NFL, and to get points with a club playing so well is a gift. What reason is there to think that the Cowboys are better than a team that has won seven straight games? After all, they couldn’t even beat a team that was ready to be left for dead in the Giants. Take a look at this trend on how San Diego snuffs out good offenses late in the year: SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.6, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 1*). Dallas will be fortunate to get those 19 points, in which case, I can’t see any way they beat the number. Play: San Diego +3
NFL: Top Trends for NFL Week 1
2009-09-09
We’re ready to kick off another exciting season in the National Football League, and here are a few of the top trends and latest analysis for the Week 1 games. All odds are courtesy of Sportsbook.com. Visit the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS and TEAM STATISTICS pages all weekend long for the rest of the key handicapping info.
Tennessee (+5) at Pittsburgh – Thursday 8:30 pm ET
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the teams
Pittsburgh is 24-8 as a home favorite between 3.5-10 points
Tennessee is 8-0 ATS in their last eight September games
This is a tough task for Tennessee as defending Super Bowl champions are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in the last five Thursday opening nights. Everyone is waiting for quarterback Kerry Collins to morph back into the younger, more skittish version of himself, but he should be fine as long as he remains a ‘game manager.’
Pittsburgh doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses and their ‘strength of schedule’ is one of the easiest in the NFL. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is the Teflon Man once again. He seems completely unaffected by his recent injury scare and his sexual assault case.
Philadelphia (-1) at Carolina – Sunday 1 pm EST
Philadelphia is 1-7-1 ATS as a road favorite between .5-3 points
Carolina was 5-2-1 ATS at home in the regular season last year
Under is 12-4 in Carolina’s last 16 home games
Philly has moved from one-point underdogs to one-point ‘chalk’ even though they were 0-4 ATS in the preseason. Donovan McNabb will lead the offense for the first two games without the help of Mike Vick and the ‘Wildcat.’ The defense must prove it can win without coordinator Jim Johnson.
Carolina was 8-0 SU at home in the regular season last year, but all anyone remembers is the home playoff loss to Arizona. The Panthers were 0-4 both straight-up and ATS in the preseason and now have running back Jonathan Stewart and linebacker Jon Beason questionable for this game.
Washington (+6.5) at NY Giants – Sunday 4:15 pm EST
New York is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the teams
New York was 12-4 ATS in the regular season last year
Washington is 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games
Washington is predicted to be bottom-dwellers in the NFC East, but don’t fall asleep on this team. Quarterback Jason Campbell is looking much more comfortable in Coach Jim Zorn’s offense and the defense was already Top 5 before adding Albert Haynesworth. Zorn better hope it all comes together or he’ll be back in Seattle working at Starbucks.
New York has all the pieces in place for another Super Bowl run except number one receiver. There is plenty of talent at the position, but someone has to assume the role of jailed Plaxico Burress. If the Giants struggle early on, the pressure will mount on Eli Manning, especially with his new mammoth contract.
Chicago (+3.5) at Green Bay – Sunday 8:20 pm EST
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the teams
Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games
Chicago is 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games
Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler has been all that was advertised so far, but his current group of receivers can’t compare with those on Denver last year. Cutler actually had a better quarterback rating on the road last year (89.3) than at home (83.2), and he’ll need to play great in this tough Lambeau matchup.
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers and the first team offense looked great when they played in the preseason. Can you say Brett Favre who? While that has Packers fans suddenly confident heading into Sunday night, the real key is how fast the defense responds to Dom Capers’ multiple-look 3-4 scheme.
Buffalo (+10.5) at New England – Monday 7 pm EST
New England is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the teams
New England is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games
Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last four Week 1 games
Buffalo is having its share of drama already, but its surprisingly not coming from wide receiver Terrell Owens. Offensive coordinator, Turk Schonert has been fired this preseason after an anemic showing for the first team offense. However, Coach Dick Jauron says the Bills will stick with the no-huddle offense.
New England continues its purge of veteran defensive players. The latest to go is Richard Seymour who was traded to Oakland for a 2011 number one pick. Coach Bill Belichick feels he can win with his revamped defense, but the QB position is thinner than an old Kate Moss photo with the un-drafted Brian Hoyer the only backup.
Other Week 1 Odds
Sunday
Miami (+4) at Atlanta – 1 pm EST
Denver (+4) at Cincinnati – 1 pm EST
Minnesota (-4) at Cleveland – 1 pm EST
Jacksonville (+7) at Indianapolis – 1 pm EST
Detroit (+13) at New Orleans – 1 pm EST
Dallas (-5.5) at Tampa Bay – 1 pm EST
Kansas City (+10.5) at Baltimore – 1 pm EST
NY Jets (+4.5) at Houston – 1 pm EST
San Francisco (+6.5) at Arizona – 4:15 pm EST
St. Louis (+7.5) at Seattle – 4:15 pm EST
San Diego (-9) at Oakland – Monday 10:15 pm ET
NFL - San Francisco at Seattle
2007-11-09
The Monday night game offers up a divisional showdown between rivals of the NFC West. No team is over .500 in this brutal division, so Seattle maintains control of the lead with a 4-4 record.
The Seahawks are off a disappointing 33-30 OT loss at Cleveland in which they gave up a 21-6 lead. It was the second time in ’07 that the offense scored both 30 points and gained at least 400 yards, so there are signs that the sputtering unit is coming to life. Speaking of struggling offenses, the 49ers are the league’s worst in yards per game (224.2) and yards per play (4.2). They have lost six straight games and are 1-5 ATS in that span. HC Mike Nolan’s teams are 6-12 ATS as road underdogs, but 5-4 ATS as double-digit dogs, which they are here at +10. In last year’s game between these teams at Seattle, the 49ers won outright, 24-14 as 10-point dogs.
The Niners started with a bang but have since found NFL life unrewarding, going 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS heading into this week’s matchup with division foe Seattle. The offense has sputtered with various injuries hampering the effort and a lack of power provided by the rushing attack. The offensive line has failed to support the momentum built last season and now must find a way to reverse fortunes if San Fran is going to challenge for wins. The defense is strong is more than capable despite giving up too many rushing yards, but their strength will never be realized until the offensive support comes forth.
Seattle may be one of the more frustrating units in the professional ranks this season. The offense is loaded with potential but has failed to formulate a means of consistent success. The defense is on the verge of joining the great units in the game but will falter against a strong rushing attack. There is nothing about this squad that shines, evidenced by the 4-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS, and 3-4-1 O/U records thus far. However, this team has put San Fran in their place once this season and faces a great opportunity to build much-needed momentum once again.
Keys to the Game –This NFC West matchup looked like a sure–fire winner before the season started; however, San Francisco has fallen flat on their faces. Injuries have limited offense, still to be this dreadful at this point of the season points to players not holding up there end of the bargain. The Niners are once again dogs to Seattle, just like they have been the previous six times. Many of the elements are in place for Seattle, but like child’s toy – assembly required. As loud and proud Seattle fans are and with how good the Seahawks have been under Mike Holmgren, they are 7-1 ATS at Qwest Field when a touchdown or more home favorite.
Trends
- The SU winner of Seattle MNF games is 20-0-1 ATS.
- San Fran is 5-2 ATS as a MNF road underdog.
StatFox Pick – Seahawks minus points